Smith had some strong moments with the San Francisco 49ers, including the iconic 2011 NFC divisional round classic against the New Orleans Saints, but the 49ers missed out on Rodgers in that 2005 draft (as did several other teams) when they chose Smith with the top pick. DIFFERENCE BETWEEN QB PRO AND QB PREMIER FOR MAC FULLWith Newton, it’s also important to remember that he played a full junior college season the year before his only season at Auburn. That season alone likely means the Panthers have no remorse over selecting Newton first overall in 2011. The most successful campaign among those three is clearly Newton’s MVP season in 2015 when he led the Carolina Panthers to a 15-1 regular season and a Super Bowl appearance. Seeing as Lawrence is likely going to be the first pick and Wilson the second, Fields, Lance, and Jones will fall under the second group, and the difference between even those two groups is stark.Ĭam Newton, Alex Smith and Kyler Murray ranked 28th, 31st, and 18th, respectively, in passer rating (out of 35 qualified QB’s) this past season, but the QBs have experienced their fair share of success. We split these QBs into two separate groups mainly because the first pick of the draft carries an extraordinary amount of value compared to every other, including the second overall selection. 1 Overall Picks With Fewer Than 24 College Games However, let’s add one final parameter to breakdown these QBs in two different categories: Those who went No. Those QBs have combined for 14 Pro Bowl nominations, one All-Pro first-team appearance, and one MVP season. Now that the disclaimer is out of the way, only 10 quarterbacks have made at least 500 pass attempts in the NFL since 2011 after playing in fewer than 24 college games in which they threw at least 10 passes. If we made the arbitrary number 25 games and included Rodgers in this list, we also would have included Ryan Fitzpatrick (Harvard), Carson Wentz (North Dakota State), Deshone Kizer (Notre Dame) and Sam Darnold (USC). We didn’t set the cutoff at 24 games to exclude him. Obviously, Rodgers is a success story and a future Hall of Famer. Now a disclaimer: Aaron Rodgers played 24 games with 10 or more passing attempts at Cal. Additionally, we sorted this study by passing attempts instead of starts because we wanted to include games where a QB didn’t start but got significant playing time and exclude games where the game flow was such that the QB wasn’t asked to do much indicative of an NFL quarterback. This list attempts to only include quarterbacks who played fewer than two full seasons of Division I college football. Previous QBs With Fewer Than 24 College Games of 10+ Passing Attemptsįirst, an explanation: We made the number of games fewer than 24 because 12 contests in a college year is a good representation of a full season. In an effort to answer that question, let’s look back and see how previous QBs under similar circumstances have performed in the NFL. This limited experience raises an organization-changing question that needs to be answered before a team pulls the trigger on selecting one: How much should games played matter when evaluating quarterbacks, especially if they are going to cost a team its first-round pick? In counting the number of games with 10 or more passing attempts in college, Fields had 22 such appearances, Lance accumulated 16 and Jones had 19. Those three quarterbacks enter the draft with a lack of college experience that is seldom seen or successful in the NFL. DIFFERENCE BETWEEN QB PRO AND QB PREMIER FOR MAC MACWhichever teams use their first-round picks to stake their futures on Justin Fields, Trey Lance and Mac Jones have taken part in an evaluation trickier than ever before. And that dependence on film study has created quite the conundrum for three franchises. Between players opting out, conference-only schedules, and no combine, college film has mattered more than ever. The cycle of talent evaluation has been entirely disrupted. 2 to the New York Jets on Thursday night, this year’s quarterback class will be a crapshoot unlike any other. 1 to the Jacksonville Jaguars and Zach Wilson goes No. It’s a safe assumption that after Trevor Lawrence goes No.
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